What Are the Odds? Voting Machine Edition

Florida results strangely vary depending on the type of voting method.


"E-Touch" Voters



Approx. 3.86 million total voters
in these counties

Kerry's Base: about 1.57 million votes*

Bush's Base: about 1.44 million votes*

Kerry's final tally: about 1.98 million votes
26.5% more than his given base

Bush's final tally: about 1.85 million votes
28.6% more than his given base

Conclusion:
Close race, as expected,
unaffiliated voters nearly evenly split
between the two candidates

* - based on the number of registered Democrats or Republicans,
adjusted for turnout


"Optical Scan" Voters



Approx. 3.42 million total voters
in these counties

Kerry's Base: about 1.43 million votes*

Bush's Base: about 1.34 million votes*

Kerry's final tally: about 1.45 million votes
Less than 1% more than his given base

Bush's final tally: about 1.95 million votes
45.8% more than his given base

Conclusion:
Virtually every unaffilated voter
would have had to have gone for Bush!
What are the odds??




* - based on the number of registered Democrats or Republicans,
adjusted for turnout